Senator John Cornyn has firmly declared his intention to seek re-election in 2026, dispelling speculation that he might step aside to bolster Republican prospects in Texas. Cornyn, who has served in the U.S. Senate since 2002, emphasized his commitment to preventing Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton from securing the Republican nomination, citing concerns over Paxton’s controversial record.
Cornyn’s announcement comes as he faces a significant primary challenge from Paxton, a staunch ally of former President Donald Trump. Recent polls indicate Paxton leading Cornyn by double digits among Republican primary voters, reflecting a shift in the party’s base toward more hardline conservative candidates.
Despite the polling deficit, Cornyn remains resolute, highlighting his legislative experience and alignment with Trump’s agenda during his tenure as Senate Majority Whip. He has assembled a campaign team with ties to both Trump and Texas Governor Greg Abbott, signaling an aggressive strategy to reclaim support within the GOP.
Paxton’s candidacy, however, is not without controversy. The Attorney General has faced multiple legal challenges, including a 2023 impeachment by the Texas House on corruption charges, though he was acquitted by the state Senate. Additionally, former aides have accused Paxton’s top deputy of witness tampering during the impeachment proceedings, further complicating his political standing.
The Democratic Party sees an opportunity amid the Republican infighting. Prominent Democrats such as former U.S. Representative Beto O’Rourke, U.S. Representative Joaquin Castro, and former astronaut Terry Virts are reportedly considering Senate bids. O’Rourke, in particular, has suggested that a Paxton nomination would be a “gift” for Democrats, potentially making the seat more competitive than it has been in decades.
Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since Lloyd Bentsen’s re-election in 1988. However, the current political dynamics, characterized by internal GOP divisions and a potentially weakened Republican nominee, have given Democrats renewed hope of flipping the seat.
As the 2026 election approaches, the Texas Senate race is shaping up to be a pivotal contest, reflecting broader national trends within both major parties. The outcome will not only determine the state’s representation in the Senate but could also signal the direction of the Republican Party in Texas and beyond.
