In November 2022, Texas experienced one of the most closely watched midterm elections in its modern history. Not only did the state see historic voter turnout, but the races themselves reflected evolving political trends that may shape its future for years to come.
From high-stakes gubernatorial and attorney general contests to competitive congressional battles, the results offered more than a tally of winners and losers—they painted a nuanced portrait of a changing electorate in one of America’s most influential states.
Record Turnout in a Traditionally Low-Turnout State
Historically, Texas has ranked among the lowest in the country for voter participation, particularly in non-presidential election years. But in 2022, more than 8.1 million Texans cast ballots in the midterm—surpassing turnout rates from 2014 and nearly matching the surge seen in 2018.
This turnout, while not as high as presidential years, was notable for several reasons:
- Increased youth engagement: Voters under 30 participated in higher numbers, thanks to sustained mobilization efforts by advocacy groups and campus organizations.
- Suburban shift: Rapidly growing suburban counties such as Collin, Fort Bend, and Williamson saw increased political activity and higher early voting rates.
- Polarizing issues: Debates over abortion access, gun laws, and immigration contributed to heightened voter interest.
Key Races Reflect Political Crosscurrents
The governor’s race between incumbent Republican Greg Abbott and Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke garnered national attention. Abbott secured a third term with a double-digit margin, but O’Rourke’s performance in urban and suburban areas hinted at long-term demographic trends.
Other significant races included:
- Attorney General: Incumbent Ken Paxton held off Democrat Rochelle Garza despite ongoing legal controversies, signaling the staying power of party loyalty in many GOP strongholds.
- Congressional contests: Several U.S. House races were decided by narrow margins, particularly in South Texas, where Republicans made gains among Latino voters.
These outcomes revealed a Texas electorate that remains largely conservative statewide but is increasingly diverse and ideologically mixed at the local level.
What the 2022 Election Taught Us About Texas Politics
The implications of the 2022 midterms go beyond turnout statistics. Analysts and political strategists point to several emerging themes:
1. Youth and Minority Voters Are Key—but Hard to Mobilize
While younger and non-white voters turned out in higher numbers, gaps in engagement persist. According to the Texas Tribune and Pew Research Center, ongoing efforts to increase civic education and voting accessibility are crucial to sustaining these gains.
2. Urban-Suburban Divide Continues to Widen
Texas cities leaned more Democratic, while rural regions remained staunchly Republican. However, the suburbs are increasingly becoming the true battlegrounds. The 2022 midterms underscored this trend, with both parties targeting swing counties for future wins.
3. National Issues Are Driving Local Engagement
The overturning of Roe v. Wade, responses to mass shootings like Uvalde, and debates over border policy deeply influenced voter sentiment. As national and local concerns continue to converge, Texas elections may grow even more consequential.
Looking Ahead: What’s Next for Texas Voters?
The momentum of 2022 has already begun shaping the political landscape for 2024 and beyond. Both parties are investing heavily in organizing efforts, and demographic shifts—particularly among younger Texans and new residents—could continue to alter the state’s political makeup.
As Texas approaches the next electoral cycle, the lessons of 2022 remain clear: turnout is no longer a given, but a variable shaped by strategy, issues, and the voters’ belief that their voices matter.